Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.716143 11.987563 13.413444 15.143885 17.204610 19.602470 22.637013
2025-04-13 8.749217 10.286389 12.139560 14.577772 17.762905 21.874448 27.745013
2025-04-20 8.403540 10.279095 12.677022 16.055426 20.846628 27.662938 38.645204
2025-04-27 7.817945 9.837867 12.533170 16.531145 22.577162 31.892059 48.565680
2025-05-04 7.042179 9.032734 11.767455 15.972453 22.632227 33.521083 54.689728
2025-05-11 6.685810 8.752145 11.681487 16.367281 24.185188 37.884513 67.348404
2025-05-18 6.227580 8.276355 11.249809 16.151620 24.669358 40.452894 77.434468
2025-05-25 5.842072 7.868625 10.872130 15.960575 25.141639 43.083667 88.863300
2025-06-01 5.538392 7.554753 10.603489 15.906875 25.837566 46.319914 103.531981
2025-06-08 5.196107 7.155846 10.164199 15.504536 25.798341 47.965997 114.751343
2025-06-15 4.968735 6.916363 9.957626 15.482713 26.496323 51.461372 134.078879
2025-06-22 4.651502 6.516314 9.458256 14.878359 25.907995 51.727027 142.580687
2025-06-29 4.328060 6.099522 8.921174 14.188924 25.121677 51.525049 150.324287
2025-07-06 4.062209 5.760929 8.494282 13.669488 24.639738 52.052125 162.003928
2025-07-13 4.137807 5.974203 9.016372 15.017337 28.564764 66.169732 256.298839
2025-07-20 4.056633 5.923040 9.072261 15.450225 30.459744 75.260933 345.855600
2025-07-27 3.842535 5.637288 8.689503 14.941779 29.926286 76.140892 380.285400
2025-08-03 3.768145 5.582949 8.720018 15.301166 31.697090 86.008379 523.260672
2025-08-10 3.623631 5.400610 8.502554 15.104904 31.951660 90.348070 631.073511
2025-08-17 3.492289 5.234410 8.304343 14.930962 32.241265 95.045100 771.639845
2025-08-24 3.385564 5.105752 8.168390 14.882055 32.883913 101.685821 996.424266
2025-08-31 3.247126 4.915119 7.903313 14.515434 32.531496 103.671574 1154.995515
2025-09-07 3.158254 4.808237 7.792986 14.495538 33.229479 111.233185 1557.780103